Credit Risk Models For Five Major Sectors In Indonesia

Credit Risk Scoring Models

Credit scoring models play a fundamental role in the risk management practice at most banks. They are used to quantify credit risk at counterparty or transaction level in the different phases of the credit cycle (e.g. application, behavioural, collection models). The credit score empowers users to make quick decisions or even to automate decisions and this is extremely desirable when banks are ...

Reinforced urn processes for credit risk models

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model to estimate rating migration matrices and default probabilities using the reinforced urn processes (RUP) introduced in Muliere et al. (2000). The estimated default probability becomes our prior information in a parametric model for the prediction of the number of bankruptcies, with the only assumption of exchangeability within rating classes. The Polya ...

Credit risk models : why they failed in the credit crisis

Parameter Uncertainty in Credit Risk Portfolio Models

Dependence of Default Probability and Recovery Rate in Structural Credit Risk Models: Empirical Evidence from Greece

The main idea of this paper is to study the dependence between the probability of default and the recovery rate on credit portfolio and to seek empirically this relationship. We examine the dependence between PD and RR by theoretical approach. For the empirically methodology, we use the bootstrapped quantile regression and the simultaneous quantile regression. These methods allow to determinate...